Q. Does having Julia Gillard as Prime Minister make you more or less likely to vote for the Labor Party?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Total more likely | 26% | 44% | 11% | 31% |
| Total less likely | 24% | 11% | 38% | 22% |
| Much more likely | 10% | 24% | 1% | 5% |
| A bit more likely | 16% | 20% | 10% | 26% |
| A bit less likely | 8% | 8% | 6% | 12% |
| Much less likely | 16% | 3% | 32% | 10% |
| Makes no difference | 41% | 40% | 47% | 40% |
| Don’t know | 8% | 5% | 3% | 7% |
Sample = 818
In aggregate, the results indicate the change will have little impact on voting intentions. 41% say it makes no difference to their vote, 26% say they are more likely to vote Labor and 24% less likely. Among Labor voters 44% say they are more likely to vote Labor and 11% less likely.
Greens voters were overall a little more positive about voting Labor – 31% more likely and 22% less likely.
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Essential Report
Two Party Preferred: 30 Jan 2012
Labor
46+/- 0
Coalition
54+/- 0
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