Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
1910 sample size
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Liberal | 36% | 41% | 41% | 42% | 40% |
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 39% | 44% | 44% | 45% | 43% |
| Labor | 43% | 38% | 39% | 40% | 42% |
| Greens | 9% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% |
| Other/Independent | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Total Lib/Nat | 46% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 49% |
| Labor | 54% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 51% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.
27
National Broadband Network
Q. From what you’ve heard, do you favour or oppose the planned national broadband network, or don’t you know enough about it to have an opinion one way or the other?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens
|
|
| Total favour | 56% | 81% | 31% | 72% |
| Total oppose | 18% | 3% | 38% | 4% |
| Strongly favour | 27% | 50% | 7% | 41% |
| Favour | 29% | 31% | 24% | 31% |
| Oppose | 12% | 2% | 25% | 4% |
| Strongly oppose | 6% | 1% | 13% | * |
| Don’t know | 26% | 15% | 30% | 24% |
56% of people favour the national broadband network.
81% of Labor voters, compared with 31% of Lib/Nat voters favour the planned national broadband network.
65% of males, compared with 47% of females favour the planned national broadband network.
38% of females, compared with 13% of males don’t know enough about it to have an opinion one way or the other.
Support for the planned national broadband network is highest in the 45-54 years age category (64% favour). Support is lowest in the 65+ yeas age category (47% favour).
63% of Victorian favour the planned national broadband network.
27
Euthanasia
Q. When a person has a disease that cannot be cured and is living in severe pain, do you think doctors should or should not be allowed by law to assist the patient to commit suicide if the patient requests it?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Green
|
|
| Should be allowed | 69% | 69% | 69% | 86% |
| Should not be allowed | 14% | 14% | 16% | 7% |
| Don’t know | 17% | 17% | 15% | 7% |
69% of people think that that doctors should be allowed by law to assist a patient commit suicide.
86% of Green voters that doctors should be allowed by law to assist a patient commit suicide. 69% of both Labor and Lib/Nat voters that doctors should be allowed by law to assist a patient to commit suicide.
There was no significant difference between the genders.
79% of people aged 65+ think that doctors should be allowed by law to assist a patient to commit suicide. This is compared to 57% of those aged 25-34 who think doctors should be allowed by law to assist a patient to commit suicide.
58% of those in Queensland think doctors should be allowed by law to assist a patient to commit suicide, compared with 75% of people in South Australia.
27
Best Leader of Liberal Party
Q. Which of the following do you think would make the best leader of the Liberal Party?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens
|
|
| Tony Abbott | 26% | 10% | 53% | 2% |
| Malcolm Turnbull | 20% | 27% | 15% | 27% |
| Joe Hockey | 15% | 15% | 17% | 17% |
| Julie Bishop | 5% | 8% | 2% | 10% |
| Don’t know | 33% | 41% | 13% | 44% |
26% of people believe that Tony Abbott is the best leader of the Liberal Party. 20% believe Malcolm Turnbull is the best leader of the Liberal Party. 33% don’t know.
27% of Labor voters think that Malcolm Turnbull is the best leader of the Liberal Party. 53% of Lib/Nat voters think that Tony Abbott is the best leader of the Liberal Party. 44% of Green voters don’t know who the best leader of the Liberal Party is.
28% of males, compared with 24% of females think that Tony Abbott is the best leader of the Liberal Party.
42% of females don’t know who the best leader of the Liberal Party is.
38% of those aged 18-24 don’t know who the best leader of the Liberal Party is. 39% of those aged 65+ think that Tony Abbott is the best leader of the Liberal Party.
27
Importance of ETS
Q. How important for Australia do you think it is for the new Labor Government to move quickly to implement an emissions trading scheme or some other scheme (such as a tax on carbon) to address climate change?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens
|
|
| Very Important | 37% | 54% | 20% | 72% |
| Not that Important | 27% | 12% | 47% | 5% |
| A top priority | 13% | 18% | 6% | 40% |
| Very important | 24% | 36% | 14% | 32% |
| Somewhat important | 26% | 29% | 24% | 19% |
| Not that important | 14% | 6% | 24% | 3% |
| Not important at all | 13% | 6% | 23% | 2% |
| Don’t know | 10% | 5% | 8% | 4% |
37% of people think it is very important to implement an ETS or other scheme to address climate change.
54% of Labor voters, compared with 20% of Lib/Nat voters think it is very important to implement an ETS or other scheme to address climate change. 72% of Green voters think it is very important to implement an ETS or other scheme to address climate change.
48% of those aged 18-24, compared with 26% of those aged 65+ it is very important to implement an ETS or other scheme to address climate change.
42% of Victorians, compared with 30% of Queenslanders it is very important to implement an ETS or other scheme to address climate change.
There was no significant difference between the genders.
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
2,073 sample size
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Liberal | 35% | 41% | 40% | 41% | 42% |
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 38% | 45% | 43% | 44% | 45% |
| Labor | 45% | 40% | 39% | 39% | 40% |
| Greens | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% |
| Other/Independent | 8% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Total Lib/Nat | 44% | 50% | 49% | 50% | 50% |
| Labor | 56% | 50% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.
20
Approval of Julia Gillard
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?
| Kevin Rudd | Julia Gillard
|
|||||||
| 31 May | 5 Jul | 19 Jul | 26 Jul | 2 Aug | 9 Aug | 16 Aug | 20 Sep | |
| Total approve | 41% | 48% | 52% | 49% | 46% | 45% | 46% | 45% |
| Total disapprove | 47% | 27% | 30% | 33% | 38% | 40% | 40% | 37% |
| Strongly approve | 7% | 14% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% |
| Approve | 34% | 34% | 41% | 37% | 36% | 32% | 33% | 33% |
| Disapprove | 25% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 23% | 24% | 24% | 21% |
| Strongly disapprove | 22% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 16% |
| Don’t know | 12% | 26% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 19% |
45% approve Julia Gillard’s performance as Prime Minister and 37% disapprove. Since this question was asked last month, approval has decreased by 1% and disapproval decreased by 3%. 92% of Labor voters approve and only 1% disapprove. Among Liberal/National voters, 10% approve and 75% disapprove.
By gender – men 42% approve/42% disapprove and women 46% approve/32% disapprove.
20
Approval of Tony Abbott
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?
| 18 Jan | 22 Feb | 29 Mar | 3 May | 31 May | 5 Jul | 2 Aug | 16 Aug | 20 Sep
|
|
| Total approve | 37% | 45% | 33% | 39% | 35% | 37% | 38% | 41% | 43% |
| Total disapprove | 37% | 36% | 50% | 43% | 50% | 47% | 48% | 44% | 37% |
| Strongly approve | 5% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 12% |
| Approve | 32% | 33% | 25% | 34% | 30% | 29% | 30% | 32% | 31% |
| Disapprove | 20% | 20% | 28% | 24% | 28% | 23% | 27% | 22% | 21% |
| Strongly disapprove | 17% | 16% | 22% | 19% | 22% | 24% | 21% | 22% | 16% |
| Don’t know | 26% | 18% | 16% | 18% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 15% | 19% |
43% approve Tony Abbott’s performance as Opposition Leader and 37% disapprove. Since this question was asked last month, approval has increased by 2% and disapproval decreased by 7%. 79% of Liberal/National voters approve and 7% disapprove. Among Labor voters, 18% approve and 67% disapprove.
By gender – men 48% approve/37% disapprove and women 37% approve/38% disapprove.
20
Better Prime Minister
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
| 5 Jul 10 | 19 Jul 10 | 26 Jul 10 | 2 Aug 10 | 9 Aug 10 | 16 Aug 10 | 20 Sep 10 | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott
21 Jun 10 |
||
| Julia Gillard | 53% | 50% | 51% | 48% | 45% | 46% | 47% | 94% | 6% | 74% | 47% | |
| Tony Abbott | 26% | 27% | 26% | 30% | 33% | 35% | 35% | 1% | 78% | 4% | 30% | |
| Don’t know | 21% | 23% | 23% | 22% | 21% | 19% | 18% | 5% | 15% | 22% | 23 |
47% think Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 35% prefer Tony Abbott – a similar margin to last month.
Julia Gillard is preferred 94% to 1% by Labor voters – and Tony Abbott is preferred 78% to 6% by Liberal/National voters. Greens voters prefer Julia Gillard 74% to 4%.
Men prefer Julia Gillard 44%/39% and women 50%/31%.
20
New Election
Q. How likely is it that Australia will need to have another Federal election within the next 12 months?
| 6 Sep 10 | 20 Sep 10 | |
| Total likely | 70% | 59% |
| Total unlikely | 16% | 28% |
| Very likely | 27% | 23% |
| Quite likely | 43% | 36% |
| Not very likely | 13% | 22% |
| Not at all likely | 3% | 6% |
| Don’t know | 14% | 13% |
59% of respondents (down 11% from 2 weeks ago) think it likely that Australia will need to have another Federal election within the next 12 months and 28% (up 12%) think it is unlikely. Labor voters are evenly divided (42% likely/42% unlikely) but 83% of Coalition voters think it is likely and only 11% unlikely.
Q. Do you think Australia should have another Federal election in the next 12 months?
| 6 Sep 10 | 20 Sep 10 | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Yes | 52% | 43% | 17% | 75% | 11% |
| No | 33% | 43% | 71% | 14% | 75% |
| Don’t know | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 14% |
43% (down 9%) think that Australia should have another election in the next 12 months and 43% (up 10%) disagree. Support for another election is strongest among Liberal/National voters (75%) but other voters oppose it.
20
Independents in Parliament
Q. Do you think there should be more or fewer independents in Federal Parliament?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | |
| Should be more | 29% | 29% | 21% | 58% | 65% |
| Should be fewer | 26% | 21% | 40% | 5% | 7% |
| About the right number | 23% | 32% | 19% | 19% | 14% |
| Don’t know | 22% | 19% | 20% | 17% | 14% |
Respondents are divided over whether there should be more or fewer independents in Parliament – 29% say more, 26% fewer and 23% think there is about the right number. 40% of Coalition voters think there should be fewer and a majority of Greens and other voters think there should be more.
Essential Report
Two Party Preferred: 30 Jan 2012
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